September 25, 2008
Bailout Hubris: Is Uncle Sam Flying Too
Close to the Sun?
Exploding energy prices? Yeah, yeah. Cratering home
values? So what? Sinking dollar? Yadda,
yadda, yadda. Rising unemployment? Big deal.
Market crashing? Yawn.
Wanna know what keeps me up at night . . . and should
have you popping Valiums, too?
When politicians all have the same thing to say about
the economy, that’s what.
To wit . . . match these sound-alike sound
bites regarding the current financial crisis
with the appropriate solon:
A. “We have to have a 9/11 commission to
find out what went wrong and to fix what's
going to
happen
in the future so this never
happens
again.”
B. “While a bipartisan bailout plan is
needed this week, only political reforms
will make sure such a crisis
never happens again.”
C. “We need to then take a step back and
say, why did this happen, we can’t ever let
it happen again.”
D. “Has the private market hurt themselves
with so much bad paper there may need to be
some public intervention, at the very least
in a package of very tight regulations, to
guarantee it doesn't
happen again?”
E. “And once we stabilize the markets, we
then have to take actions to make sure this
doesn't
happen again.”
For those of you playing at home, the answer key is:
A. John McCain
B. Barack Obama
C. Hillary Clinton
D. Democratic House Banking Chairman Barney Frank
E. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.
(And if you got those all right: run, do not walk, to
cancel your subscription to Fox News
Channel, CNN and CNBC, stop hanging out at
Politico and HuffPo, and go get some help.
Seriously.)
Anyway, this little task should be a snap for the
assembled minds in Washington.
Make sure a market crash “never happens again?” All
you have to do is repeal the business cycle
. . . abolish the basic laws of economics .
. . and alter fundamental human nature.
(Paging Dr. Phil.)
And oh yeah – ignore the dot.com craze. The recessions
of 1990, 1982, 1980, 1973, 1969, 1960, 1957,
1953 and 1948. The Great Depression. And the
Panics (that’s what they used to call them)
of 1912, 1907, 1893, 1873, 1857, 1837, 1819,
1816, 1812 and so on.
Plus millennia of bank runs, bubbles and bet-the-house
speculation on everything from securities to
silver, gold, jewels, real estate, artwork,
stamps, oil, lumber, beads, baseball cards,
pork bellies and brontosaurus teeth (OK, I
made that one up) – not to mention all those
maniacs tip-toeing through the tulips for
thalers in 17th Century Holland.
The truth is that economic cycles – set in motion by
the same greed and ground to a halt by the
same fear that have been around since Eve
bit the apple – are part of the real world
where most of us outside the Beltway live.
Since the dawn of time, the sun has risen and set, the
tide has come in and out, and good times
have alternated with bad in a
self-correcting market mechanism – all
without the intervention of the Treasury
Department and Congress.
But something else has also been with us since man’s
earliest days – like when that Icarus dude
ignored the air-traffic controller and
suffered a meltdown of his own.
Call it hubris. Chutzpah. Gall. Or maybe just the
audacity of hype.
Whatever you call it, most of the instances in which
U.S. markets did not readily self-correct
had one thing in common: Washington’s
wishful thinking that it had the authority,
or worse yet, the ability, to tame the
economic tides.
Messrs. Smoot and Hawley, meet the Great Depression.
Richard Nixon’s wage-and-price freeze spawns
stagflation. Jimmy Carter’s oil price
controls, windfall profits taxes, easy money
and uber-regulation? All they did was
supercharge the 1970s energy shock – and
offer up consecutive years of double-digit
price hikes.
But if you think all that was over the top, you ain’t
seen nothin’ yet.
Not when Bonnie Bennie Bernanke hints that $700
billion may just be the down payment on the
Biggest Bailout Ever.
When Paulson, channeling Nero, is turning thumbs up
and thumbs down on the fate of Wall Street’s
grandest gladiators – and wants to extend
the same authority to the “toxic debt” of
Main Street.
When Commander McCain is readying the yardarm for
financial executives guilty of “unbridled
greed.”
When Barney (BFF of Fannie) Frank is promising “very
tight regulations” that will “guarantee”
against further market mayhem.
And when the proud creative team who brought you the
Transportation Security Administration – the
better to strip-search Grandma with – now
wants to send your financial portfolio
through the X-ray too. (“Please remove your
laptops, shoes, nail trimmers, 401[k],
stocks, bonds, CDs and anything else that
might create risk or otherwise make money.”)
The fabled Prague Spring of 1968 produced the phrase
“socialism with a human face,” a term others
adopted to describe so-called “democratic
socialism.” This is precisely where we seem
to be headed – from the other direction and
possibly with a large “D” – in this
Washington fall of 2008.
Whether that human face turns out to be Barack Obama’s,
Frank’s or even McCain’s or Paulson’s, I
have an answer at the ready.
To coin a phrase: “Thanks – but no thanks.”
© 2008
North Star Writers Group. May not be republished without permission.
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