September 15, 2008
Marching to the Altar With Ugly Fannie
Look, it’s been a long time, but no, that
Fannie Mae you’ve been reading about is
definitely not the girl you took to
the prom.
Her name was Mary Beth (or Tiffany, if
you’re under 30). And I can assure you, she
had a lot fewer zits.
Because the Fannie Mae that Uncle Sam toted
to the altar last week is not only coyote
ugly, but also the loosest babe since Ruby
took her love to town.
Along with Fannie’s name, you’re surely
hearing that her emergency takeover by the
government is a “good thing.” Uh huh.
Gold-plated rule number one: When you hear
the government is taking over anything, it's
time to hide the silverware and start
shuffling assets to the safe deposit box.
No offense to Bristol Palin, but shotgun
weddings are almost never a good thing. They
mean someone has been behaving badly. And in
the case of Fannie, the feds and mortgage
bankers, that's several someones.
In case you didn’t know, Fannie Mae’s
cute-as-a-button nickname stands for Federal
National Mortgage Association. A federally
chartered but private-sector corporation,
Fannie buys up scads of mortgages from
lenders, wraps them into neat little
“mortgage-backed securities” and peddles
them to investors in friendly places like
China and the Middle East.
The idea is that, once banks off-load the
mortgages onto Fannie, they’ll have more
money to shower upon would-be homeowners who
will become actual homeowners, which our
eager vote-buying solons in Congress
consider another very good thing.
All this may sound complex – exactly what
economists want you to think. Well, I’m not
pretending to be an economist (and I don't
play one on TV).
But it doesn’t take an economist to see that
Fannie’s shenanigans involve a very simple,
textbook case of overgrown boys playing with
good old OPM – Other People’s Money. In this
case, yours.
The law never explicitly said so, but
Congress has long led investors to believe
that Fannie’s federally chartered status
placed the government’s “full faith and
credit” behind her.
In other words, kindly Uncle Sam hands
Fannie and her friends a credit card. Be
good girls, he says. Don’t spend more than
you can afford, and for sure, don’t
overspend the limit.
And then whispers (with a wink): If you do,
I’ll pay it off.
Whoa! I’m coming out, so you’d better get
this party started! Toga! Toga! Toga!
Soon you have a bevy of giddy bankers
cavorting with Fannie, her heady hoard of
cash and super-sized portfolios of
zero-interest loans (not to mention
Congress-types benefiting from lobbyist
favors and campaign gifts). Things go too
far, and whole bunches of those actual
homeowners they finance turn out to be
never-should-have-been homeowners.
Someone spills the economic punch bowl –
they always do – and bunches more become
used-to-be homeowners who walk away when
their bubble-bought castles turn “upside
down” as well.
Yikes. Party’s over, and Fannie’s stuck with
that big credit card bill. How big? Well, to
paraphrase the late, great Everett Dirksen,
a few hundred billion here, a few hundred
billion there, and soon you’re talking real
money overhanging the market.
Enough to make Fannie’s foreign Sugar
Daddies very nervous. Nervous enough
to consider dumping other U.S. holdings.
Thereby collapsing our stock market (bye
bye, 401k). And drying up any remaining
mortgage money (adios, home equity).
Haul out the shotgun. Cue the Wedding March.
And pull out your checkbook.
And yes, you’ve seen this movie before. In
widescreen and Technicolor. When federally
insured savings and loans partied with OPM
in the 1980s, their bailout only cost
taxpayers around
$125 billion – a relative bargain compared
to Fannie’s antics.
Now, the economists’ term for OPM is “moral
hazard.” But I have a different name for it:
Bad government.
Bad government puts your money at risk,
while promoting the fiction that it is doing
good things for you when everyone knows the
opposite is the case. Even as it hands
Fannie your credit card, bad government
allows the tax code to further encourage
three-person households to live beyond their
means in five-bedroom McMansions, heat up
markets and ultimately make housing less
affordable and accessible.
Don’t look now, but as we speak, the same
brand of bad government is doling out
low-interest loans to auto companies badly
marketing the wrong cars and paying people
not to work. And Fannie’s congressional
patrons are plotting ways to jump-start the
party again.
In an extraordinary Wall Street Journal
op-ed, longtime Fannie nemesis John
McCain (along with Sarah Palin) responded to
her nuptials by promising, “In
the first 100 days of our administration, we
will look at every agency and department and
expenditure of the federal government and
ask this simple question: Is it serving the
needs of the taxpayer? If it is not, we will
reform it or shut it down . . .”
That would be good government. But
we’ve seen candidates make similarly sincere
pledges (1976? 1994?) – then run smack into
the permanent Washington party-hearty
establishment and get flattened.
In the end, we always end up with Ugly
Fannie at the prom, or worse yet, the altar.
And the bill.
Can it be different this time?
© 2008
North Star Writers Group. May not be republished without permission.
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