Llewellyn
King
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November 7, 2008
As Obama Chooses His Team, the Long Shadow of Clinton Falls
Back to the future? Oh,
say it ain’t so, Barack Obama. As the president-elect struggles to fill
out his staff, there is concern among analysts and scholars of the
presidency that the new president may be relying too much on the men and
women who served Bill Clinton.
The problem is that
they are perceived as yesterday’s people and, worse, that Obama was
elected on a clarion call of change. The stalwarts of the Democratic
administration of the ’90s have about them the ghostly tinge of another
time. In a parliamentary system of government, you know the likely
players after an election. There is in place a shadow cabinet, ready to
seize the reins if the electorate favors a change. In a presidential
system you hope for new faces.
We look not only for
fresh ideas in a new administration, but also for fresh faces to carry
the policies forward. The need for the new has been elevated by the
George W. Bush Administration, staffed as it has been by his father’s
placemen, especially in the first term. Alas, it was old wine in new
bottles. Sometimes the wine was bitter – men who came back to Washington
to finish that which had been unfinished. While the new president might
not have had an agenda, the staff he appointed did – and they sold it to
the president, particularly after the emboldening that 9/11 conveyed.
That is one lesson for
the Obama crowd. Another is don’t tear up everything that the previous
administration has done, even if you don’t like it. That just sets up a
policy seesaw of the kind that debilitates. The new Bush Administration
reversed treaties, including the Kyoto agreement, and encouraged a kind
of belligerence. It gave the back of its hand to all sorts of people and
undermined, rather than reformed, the United Nations.
The early signs are
that Obama is relying heavily on Clinton worthies. First there is Rahm
Emanuel, who will become Obama's chief of staff, and is known for his arrogance, effectiveness and profanity. He is an odd choice. It is
a role best occupied by self-effacing professionals, who can control an
egotistical staff. It is a job best performed by those who can mollify
without conceding. Ronald Reagan, after difficulties, found the right
person in Howard Baker. George H.W. Bush had difficulties with John
Sununu, fewer with Sam Skinner and found the perfect person in that Man
for All Reasons, James Baker. Clinton had three chiefs of staff, but
Leon Panetta stood out. Andy Card and Josh Bolton have both served
George W. Bush well – not an easy assignment, given the intrusive
influence of Vice President Cheney and the pre-emptive role of
strategist Karl Rove.
Washington’s
foreign policy establishment is particularly concerned about the names
circulating for national security adviser and secretary of State. For
national security adviser, these include Susan Rice, who was Clinton’s
assistant secretary of state for African affairs. She is liked and
respected, but her gravitas is questioned, as is her role in the Rwanda
civil war. And for secretary of State, these include Richard Holbrooke,
Clinton’s man in the Bosnian crisis and architect of the Dayton peace
accords. If Emanuel has an ego, the brilliant Holbrooke is his equal.
Then there is the perennial office-seeker Bill Richardson, Clinton’s
secretary of Energy and United Nations ambassador. A man of derring-do,
he longs to move back to Washington and leave his gubernatorial duties
in New Mexico. He likes worlds to conquer and supported Obama after his
own presidential bid collapsed.
Their hopes may be
dashed by the ambitions of Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), who is pressuring
Obama for the top State Department job and by the friends of Sen. Dick
Lugar (R-Ind.), who would like to see the minority leader on the Foreign
Relations Committee go out in a blaze of bipartisan glory. The joke in
the Capitol is that if you walk into any urinal and say, “Mr.
Secretary,” 10 men will reply, “Yes?”
And so it goes. What is
lacking so far are the new faces of “change.” Things look a little less
Clintonesque over at the Justice Department, where a variety of names,
some with Clinton ties and some without, are circulating. The wisdom
about the other two critical appointments is less informed. This gives
the Treasury either to former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volker or to
the quintessential Clinton man, Robert Rubin. Defense aficionados hope
Obama will keep Robert Gates as long as he wants to serve, and then will
slip in the much-loved but the wayward Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel of
Nebraska.
© 2008 North Star
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