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Candace

Talmadge

 

 

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January 23, 2009

Economic Stimulus Debate Ignores Stagnant Wages

 

The new administration wants to spend megabucks to revive an economy on life support. But as long as U.S. workers’ wages continue to stagnate, an entire world of fiscal stimulus won’t resolve the underlying issue.

 

Today’s recession/depression is the logical and inevitable outcome of the war on the middle class and trade unions. Yes, it’s rude to mention the term class warfare. It’s far ruder to wage it, which is exactly what Republicans have been doing since the 1970s, enabled and abetted by Democrats eager for their share of corporate campaign contributions. After all, the real reason for President Nixon’s 1972 China visit was to open a vast new source of cheap labor, readily exploitable by a combination of global businesses aligned with the repressive Chinese government.

 

During the 20th Century, it was an article of faith among economists that when workers become more productive, their wages rise. Productivity is their term for the amount of goods or services a worker produces in an hour. Just be more productive, they lectured the unions, and wages will rise.

 

Something odd happened at the start of Ronald Reagan’s second term. Productivity went up yet paychecks began not keeping pace. A graph from the Economic Policy Institute charts the soaring productivity of U.S. workers between 1973 and 2007 – an overall rise of 83 percent, according to Heidi Shierholz, an EPI economist.

 

In stark contrast on the same chart are wages, which since 1985 have lagged farther and farther behind the hefty gains in productivity. Shierholz calculates that had wages actually kept pace with productivity during the same 34-year timeframe plotted on the chart, the minimum wage would be $11.93 an hour (in 2007 dollars), more than twice its real value of $5.85 (in 2007 dollars).

 

If U.S. workers were making a minimum wage of $11.93 an hour, and the higher wage jobs were not being outsourced or off-shored in record numbers to poverty-pay nations, we might not be in such an economic pickle. Yet as a matter of unstated national policy (otherwise known as class warfare), the United States has chosen to shore up corporate profits and CEO pay over workers’ rights and welfare during the past four decades.

 

“The country has been getting richer, but the spoils have not been reaching those who have had a large hand in producing those riches,” Shierholz says. Today’s yawning gap between wages and productivity is a real poser for contemporary economists, and she says there appear to be a host of factors contributing to the discrepancy.

 

The bottom line, however, is that Americans’ paychecks no longer cover even their basic expenses, and they have run out of plastic and home equity to hide this pesky little fact. On top of that, there are no convenient bubbles like the dot-com boom or housing to maintain the pretense of prosperity any longer.

 

Cash-strapped and saddled with mountains of debt, Americans are at the end of their spending ropes. Even behemoth retail discounter Wal-Mart, Inc. – the store of last resort for the poor and newly impoverished – has warned of lower than anticipated financial results for 2008. That’s when we know it’s really, really bad.

 

By all means, slap a Band-Aid on the situation with heavy fiscal spending. Unless we change the national course, however, and start supporting domestic manufacturing and other jobs that pay according to worker productivity, any recovery will be fleeting at best.

 

© 2009 North Star Writers Group. May not be republished without permission.

 

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