April 26,
2006
Serious Threat, Meet Unserious World
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is hardly the first head of state in the Middle
East to express his desire to see Israel disappear. But he may soon
become the first with the ability to make it happen at the push of a
button.
As
Iran’s nuclear ambitions grow more ominous, the world is responding
in the usual way. Multilingual committee meetings, threats of
economic sanctions and constructive reminders from the Russians that
bellicosity would certainly not be helpful.
Thanks, Yuri! Our new friends the Afghans want to especially convey
their appreciation for your pacifist sensibilities.
The “international community” instinctively dithers as crises loom.
The UN and the International Atomic Energy Agency are designed with
dithering in mind. Unfortunately, Iran’s prospective nuclear weapons
are being designed with mass annihilation in mind. Mr. Ahmadinejad
doesn’t seem like the kind of guy with whom you can get far in
negotiations, especially since he won’t even admit he’s trying to
build weapons in the first place – the very weapons for which he has
already declared his preferred primary use. (Israel? Wiped off the
map? Heard about that one?)
How can a dithering world effectively confront a rabid regime with
an eye toward the complete destruction of a neighbor? What’s more,
how can a dithering world come to terms with the strong possibility
that this particular rabid regime will be followed by others posing
the same problem?
Consider the world’s limited options in dealing with Iran. The
objective is to stop the Iranians entirely from enriching uranium.
This demonstrates that no one believes the obvious lie that nuclear
activity is designed only to generate electricity. (Because it’s not
like Iran has any oil, you understand.) So Iran’s friends,
the Russians – who buy their oil and sell them weapons – offer to
enrich the uranium for them and deliver turnkey nuclear reactors –
all ready to turn on the lights, but useless for making weapons.
Oh, gee, no thanks! You know, we’ve got all this uranium lying
around, and all this enrichment paraphernalia . . . we’ve
just got to do something with it.
Well then, the world will send in inspectors! Maybe Hans Blix is
available. He’ll put the fear of Allah into Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Put
him together with Mohammed El Baradei, head of the IAEA, and no
amount of mountains and hidden bunkers will stop them from getting
to the bottom of Iran’s nuclear naughtiness.
The mad mullahs in Tehran understand that there is little the world
community can do to stop them from building their bomb. Economic
sanctions are unlikely to have any teeth when the Germans, French,
Russians and Chinese show no inclination to go along. And even if
they did, it would probably only incentivize Iran to go faster.
Diplomatic deals, like the current proposal to grant U.S.
recognition in exchange for Iran’s abandonment of its weapons
program, are untenable because they only work when the regime making
the deal can be trusted. Would you trust Ahmadinejad? He recently
announced the Iranians are conducting research on an advanced
centrifuge he previously denied they even had.
America has gone down this road before. Bill Clinton thought he had
a deal in place with North Korea to supply nuclear reactors (for
“peaceful” purposes) in exchange for Kim Jung Il’s abandonment of
his weapons program. Oops. Kim built the weapons anyway. Fool Bill
once, shame on Kim. Fool George, too? Not likely, Mahmoud.
So
why should Iran even attempt the pretense of hiding its nuclear
activity? In truth, it isn’t. Even Iran’s “denials” have more of an
in-your-face character than a plea of innocence, as if to say, We
know we’re lying and you know we’re lying, and you can’t do a darn
thing about it.
Iran presents a deathly serious global security crisis because its
fanatical regime shows every sign that it is deathly serious, not
only about developing these weapons, but about putting them to good
use. Against this looming threat stands a tragically unserious
patchwork of international organizations and established diplomatic
methods. International bodies that were designed to prevent any more
Hitlers from marching across Europe are entirely unprepared to stop
an isolated, secretive and unafraid regime full of zealots from
building doomsday weapons they fully intend to use.
We
knew in 1979 that the regime arising from Iran’s Islamic Revolution
was willing to stick its finger in the world’s eye and see what
would happen. It saw that nothing happened. Its resultant direction
should come as no surprise.
Today, many Americans consider it a scandal that the regime of
Saddam Hussein was forcibly removed from power when it may not have
had any weapons of mass destruction and may not have presented an
imminent threat. Perhaps the real scandal is that this very course
of action was not pursued against Iran long ago, because today the
threat is imminent, and the weapons are coming along nicely. And
it’s hard to see a darn thing that can be done about it now.
© 2006 North Star Writers
Group. May not be republished without permission.
Click here to talk to our writers and
editors about this column and others in our discussion forum.
To e-mail feedback about this column,
click here. If you enjoy this writer's
work, please contact your local newspapers editors and ask them to carry
it.
This is Column # DC30.
Request permission to publish here.
|