Read David's bio and previous columns here
March 4, 2008
Hillary's Swan Song?
The Democratic primary
process may reach its ultimate conclusion today, as the big states of
Texas and Ohio (as well as Vermont and Rhode Island) go to the polls to
weigh in on Barack Obama vs. Hillary Clinton. Sen. Clinton likely needs
to win both Texas and Ohio to stay in the race, and preferably big, so
as to close the current delegate gap.
There are three
possible logical outcomes to today's primaries:
big. Presently, the polls don't suggest that
this is particularly likely, but if it happens, it will be a major
momentum shift toward Clinton, and will ensure a big-time fight all the
way to the convention in Denver in September. And there would be no
specter of Hillary “hijacking” the nomination, as she and Obama would be
in essentially a flat-footed tie. While there would certainly be some
hard feelings, the odds would favor reconciliation and unity heading
into autumn versus Sen. McCain.
close. This seems the most likely outcome as
of this writing. Hillary would stay alive and get a small momentum bump,
but would stay fairly far behind in the delegate count. In other words,
the status quo remains. Hillary's almost certain subsequent attempts to
seat the previously banned Florida/Michigan delegates and sway
superdelegates would largely be seen as a hijacking of the nomination,
and spark outrage and perhaps fratricide within the Democratic
rank-and-file. Were it to succeed, we could see a total party meltdown.
Her campaign is done and finished, no matter how much in denial of it
she's sure to be. Our long national nightmare that is the Clintons will
be over, and they will finally be made to do the one thing they would
never do of their own choosing: Go away. (Hopefully forever.)
Which outcome serves
the conservative side the best? And given that the Republican nominating
contest is all but over, should conservatives and independents cross
over to affect the other contest? If so, for whom should a vote be cast?
First of all, we can't
complain about our early primaries being manipulated, then do it right
back, and claim to hold any moral high ground. Plus, as Gov. Mike
Huckabee is as clueless as the Clintons when comes to knowing when to go
away (just what is it about Arkansas politicians, anyway?), he could be
used to send a message to the GOP about the base's dissatisfaction with
McCain. So, for those more principled, you stay home and vote your
conscience in the Republican contests.
As for those of us less
principled and willing to engage in some revenge meddling, I think the
proper vote is against Hillary. As tempting as it is to want to create
maximum carnage at the Democrat convention, I don't think you allow her
to get up off the mat. Finish her off while you have the chance, and be
done with her. There is nothing saying that the carnage will definitely
happen, and if she gets the nod and manages to get Obama to join the
ticket as her VP (which she'll have to do to heal the rift), we'll have
brought the ultimate disaster upon ourselves when it was entirely
There are still eight
long months until Election Day, and the cult-like Obama messiah stuff
will get real old real fast once he is the sole focus of attention on
the Democratic side of the aisle. If the GOP can't find a way to defeat
a candidate that is all flash and little substance, and expose for all
to see just how far off the deep left end his little substance is (which
is why he hides it with flash in the first place), then they deserve to
lose. And if America falls for this charlatan, we deserve the
worse-than-Jimmy-Carter disaster he's certain to visit upon us.
So, come Tuesday, sit
back and watch the results. With any luck, we'll be able to hum the
lyrics of that munchkin song from The Wizard of Oz: Ding, dong,
the witch is dead . . . which old witch? The wicked witch . . . ding,
dong, the wicked witch is dead . . . Whoo!
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