David
Karki
Read David's bio and previous columns here
January 21, 2008
The GOP: Going the
Way of the Whigs
South Carolina has had
its turn at a Republican primary, and for conservatives it was a
dismaying night. Fred Thompson could do no better than a distant third
place, in a state that one would think would be tailor-made for him.
Even if he stays in the race through Florida and into Super Tuesday, it
would seem that he'll not be much of a factor.
This leaves a three-way
race between John McCain, Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney. Rudy Giuliani
may get back into this with a win in Florida, but if Thompson's
performance yesterday is any indication, a late-arriving guy who hasn't
been in the news recently probably shouldn't get his hopes up.
Even if Giuliani does
turn it into a four-way race, it doesn't really change things insofar as
conservatives go. There is no candidate that we can get behind, get
enthusiastic about and really be for, as opposed to simply
accepting the lesser of two evils, solely to prevent an even-worse
Democrat from winning.
And let's be honest
here: There is a certain point where this line of thinking is completely
counter-productive. If we are going to become a European-style socialist
country, and suffer the disastrous consequences of such an ill-advised
leftward move, better to do this under a Democrat president so they can
receive the full measure of responsibility and/or blame. The worst of
all worlds would be to have a liberal Republican signing all the
left-wing crap Sen. Reid and Speaker Pelosi would shovel out of
Congress, so that the Democrats could still blame the GOP for the
inevitable awful results.
Just as it took Jimmy
Carter's stagflation and foreign-policy fecklessness to get America to
turn to Ronald Reagan, so too might it take something worse than that to
get what now appears to be a more liberal country to turn away from
socialism's inexplicable allure.
By the same token, it
might take a term or two in the political wilderness for the Republican
Party to decide if it wants to survive or go the way of the Whigs and
into oblivion.
We have seen in
this primary that conservatism is no longer the driving principle of the
GOP. The candidates that remain all embody P.J. O'Rourke's classic line
about the motto of the party: We're just like
the Democrats, only not quite as much!
Suffice it to say, the
best any of them can hope for is that conservative voters are motivated
to vote for them out of horror at the specter of Hillary Clinton, Barack
Obama or John Edwards. The best-case scenario for this Republican field
is that such fear will be stronger than the motivation to vote
third-party out of disdain for them. If the candidates won't even
tack rightward during the primary, what chance is there that the winner
will do so in the general election campaign? About the same as the
temperature outside as I write this – less than zero.
This is no way to win
in November. The GOP is well on its way to nominating someone who will
make Bob Dole in 1996 look electable. And it might finally have reached
the point where conservatives are no longer going to bail them out in
November just to keep a Democrat out of the Oval Office. After all, if
the Republican is nearly the same anyway, what's the point of the
effort? It's like choosing between arsenic, strychnine and cyanide.
Either way, you're just as dead.
The only solace I take
in what seems to be conservatism's defeat and possibly death is this:
Being in Minnesota, a state that has no chance of going Republican, my
vote is hardly going to matter anyway. And when the Republican
Convention is held here in the Twin Cities this August, we'll get to
observe the outright absurdity of MoveOn.org wackos militantly
protesting a party whose acceptance of their liberal policies is about
to give them back the complete Democratic control of both ends of
Pennsylvania Avenue that they have so lusted for since the moment they
lost it in 1994. How ironic that they lost it because of Hillary's
attempt to have government take over health care, something that appears
to have been enthusiastically embraced some 14 years later.
And that instead of
protesting the GOP, they should be thanking the GOP and quietly
getting out of the way while their opponent commits suicide.
What was it that Karl
Marx said about history repeating itself, first as tragedy, second as
farce? (Hey, he might actually have been right once. It still doesn't
make up for giving the world the evil known as communism, but it's
something.)
But one humorous moment
cannot make up for what appears about to inevitably happen. A party
seems ready to step off the cliff into the abyss. It would seem that
nothing can stop it, and we can only hope it doesn't take the nation
down with it.
© 2008
North Star Writers Group. May not be republished without permission.
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